2016 election simulator2016 election simulator

We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. It's almost here - the moment we've all been waiting for - States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. Results can now split Maine and Nebraska, as there is at least some possibility that one congressional district in each of those states may be competitive in November. Release Date: Jan 9, 2020. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. There's little evidence that Trump is improving on Romneys 6 percent showing, but without Obama on the ballot, Democrats will need to ensure black turnout remains high. Please try again later. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? Choose a county (or several) to move to a new state. Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. Illustration by Tim Lahan / for NBC News. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. These Results are controlled 100% by the computerGet the game here: http://270soft.com/us-election-games/president-election-game-2016-infinity/ Interactive US map from jquery us-map . [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming See the The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Latino voters are about 11 percent of the eligible electorate in 2016, up 1 percentage point from four years ago. The goal of this report . Election simulator. 2016 election simulation as if voter turnout and preferences were the same as in 2012scenario Athe authors are not expressing the belief that this is a likely event. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. I've preloaded the simulator with data for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a handful of other historical 3-party races that are interesting for a variety of reasons. However, they turn out at lower rates than whites with degrees, and their share of the electorate shrinks every four years. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. 2020 polling indicates a 14-day rolling average of statewide polls calculated by the Guardian, correct as of the timestamp above. Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. Last updated April 27, 2016 at 11:08 p.m. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. 10.5%. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. WRITER / DIRECTOR : Greg Buchanan PROGRAMMERS: Cherie Davidson and Matt Nichols COMPOSER: Seb Peters ILLUSTRATOR: Adam Coburn LOGO: Anthony Gambino Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Sources: Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International (2004/2008/2012 exit polls); U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (turnout rates by race/ethnicity); U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (population estimates); Cook Political Report (election results; compiled from official sources). There were seven faithless presidential electors. It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . In this game, you will make choices. Or, click on a different year to see average results for that election. Mess around. Best News 2023 Dove trovare peluche masha e orso cartone. This is also visualised in the form of. 13.5%. Results from the Campaign Trail will be tied to your account. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. Something isn't right about this candidate. Adjust the Turnout and Two-Party Vote to Simulate 2016 Presidential Election Scenarios. View our Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) about next steps for this game and site. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. 2020 Electoral College Map Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. Rep./Dem. Sources: Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) In the 1992 election, Ross Perot was such a candidate, winning approximately 19% of the popular vote and having over 30% of the nal vote in Maine and 27% in Utah [2]. 201620122008200420001996199219881984198019761972196819641960195619521948194419401936193219281924192019161912190819041900189618921888188418801876187218681864186018561852184818441840 Here's how to play our game that lets you predict the next president. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. Out-talk, Out-smart, and Out-spend your Opponents, The Political Machine 2020 v1.4 - The Final Stretch, The Political Machine 2020 v1.31 - The Big Issues, Most Interesting Political Machine 2020 YouTube Videos. In a winner-take-all state, the winner gets all the delegates regardless of vote share. Support|Gamepedia Wiki And since that wasn't enough . Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. But with the primaries now (mostly) behind us, we can start obsessing over who will win and how they will do it. Thank you, please check to confirm your subscription! Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population. Or will Trump stay in the White House? If it declines, Clinton will have much less room for error in key states such as Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. White. Methodology. Number of IndependentsDefault123, Election Results for 2024 - Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator. M ove Hide Counties Share Year: Details Code available on GitHub . View overall results, or a specific state: Points Shop News Labs. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Romney received just 27 percent of their votes in 2012, and Trump is in danger of faring even worse. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. If you find something interesting -- a scenario that even Martin O'Malley could win -- let us know in the comments. Well, it looks like we have our general election match-up: Jeb Bush vs. Martin O'Malley. Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for Trump. Election simulator is a political satire game where you gain Voters by literally throwing cash at problems in society. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . This game was built using Twine. And since that wasn't enough, we also included data on how the states voted relative to the country on the whole, letting you see how much more liberal or conservative each one was versus the norm, even if it voted for a Democrat or a Republican. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. presidents in American history. Such states ranked either a solid or likely win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. States already placed in the Biden and Trump camp are those classified as solid or likely to go to each candidate according to the Cook Political Report as of 9 September 2020. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. We then applied these estimates at the county level and used a statistical technique (called iterative proportional fitting) to fit the estimates to actual vote results before reconstructing them at the state level. Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. In 2000, Al Gore carried just 169. Election simulation data from the Economist election model . This refreshed version of Win the White House challenges you to build your campaign and allows you to simulate a presidential election: Building arguments to support timely issues that are relevant to you Strategically raise funds to support your campaign Maybe check back later! (Defaults are from 2020) However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. If any company has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator, Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024. This article was published more than6 years ago. Special thanks to New Signature for their work on a clickable U.S. map. 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. The model used here allocates the congressional district electoral votes in those states separately from the statewide electoral votes. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the Sanders vs. Trump electoral map. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2016 presidential election forecast. This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. Additional new features will be coming soon. Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz. This marked the first time that Maine has split its electoral vote since it moved away from the winner-take-all method in 1972. The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. With a new slew : Lesson Plan: . And you are being followed. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. There is also a community page thecampaigntrail on Reddit. Nonetheless, they still factor heavily in key states, including Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 2016 Electoral College Calculator Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. Edited by Anna Brand. One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Contact us with any questions or comments. Just kidding! Walk the fine line between appealing to your base and winning a majority of the votes. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election.