Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. A recent look at the Shot Scope database putting statistics has revealed that for all handicap categories, the make % is pretty good. Jon Rahm . My putting is about half as good, (my percentages for 5 feet are similar the the PGA's percentages for 10 feet.) PGA Tour Putting Average makes from 3 feet: 99.42%. THE NEXT YEAR, his putting changed to -.016. Read The Line has 15 outright wins in the last year and covers the LPGA and PGA Tour, raising your golf betting acumen week after week. This fascinating chart shows how likely you are to 3-putt, Tony Finau caddies after his victory and Mrs. Morikawas smooth swing | Rogers Report, Phil Mickelson alleges world ranking collusion taking place, What is a PGA Tour Special Temporary member? To get the job done, 200 yard approaches must be in your wheelhouse. Namely, not knowing from what distances those putts occurred and how difficult the putts might have been. Did you know that 84% of missed putts over five feet finish short? Zephyr Melton is an assistant editor for GOLF.com where he spends his days blogging, producing and editing. But dont take my word for it or even the word of the players. Providing the only Real-Time Live Scoring for the PGA TOUR, Champions Tour and Korn Ferry Tour. 20 14% You can unsubscribe at any time, for more information view our Privacy Policy. Avg. Lets say you leave the putt 8 feet from the hole. Or does it mean you hit better shots into the green, making you a better iron player rather than a better putter? At the same time, it is fairly complicated to make sense of all the numbers that are given to you. In 2022-23, hes making 10 more feet of putts per round, ranking him 14th on TOUR. For every foot you get farther from the hole, your chances of a make decrease anywhere from 5 to 11 percent. Hopefully this is starting to paint a picture of why this is such a bad, dumb argument. Making a few more or less putts over 25 feet than the field over the course of a season is not very significant in the context of 1875 putts. Rahm didnt miss many greens at Augusta National, but when he did, nobody was better at saving par. uncovered earlier that 3 putts tend to happen due to a poor first putt, which Driving Distance. When Rahm won his third event of the 2022-23 PGA TOUR season The Genesis Invitational, on February 19 he became the fastest player to reach three wins in a calendar year since Johnny Miller in 1975. Prior to joining the team at GOLF, he attended the University of Texas followed by stops with the Texas Golf Association, Team USA, the Green Bay Packers and the PGA Tour. When Rahm won his third event of the 2022-23 PGA TOUR season The Genesis Invitational, on February 19 he became the fastest player to reach three wins in a calendar year since Johnny Miller in 1975. Dont just focus on big time ball strikers. You go on to say a player takes an average of 900 putts <5 feet, 450 putts between 5 and 15 feet, 225 putts between 15 and 25 feet, and 300 putts over 25 feet. Read The Line is the leading golf betting insights service led by 5-time award winning PGA Professional Keith Stewart. Dont go try and force your 30+ foot birdies. Its also notable how quickly the one-putt percentages drop off between three and 10 feet. 15 23% The greens are on average 7,000 sq/ft. So, what did he go and do? The Strokes Gained Putting statistic uses a certain value that is assigned to a putt, factoring in difficulty, distance, and tournament field performance. Just being a pure bomber wont automatically place you in contention. The best correlation to success, even the fiftieth ranked guy on TOUR averages over 306 yards. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . Scratch golfers 17 percent of the time. Strokes gained "greens in regulation" will overtake the original by taking into account WHERE YOUR APPROACH SHOT ENDS UP. 4 87% Its complicated could be the relationship status between people and statistics. Rahm's rate entering the '22 Mexico Open was significantly lower than that - just 38.9%. In the two seasons when he led the PGA Tour in putting, he finished 111th and 73rd in the FedEx Cup standings and only managed six top-10s in 51 tournaments. His results are dramatic. Roll them hole side and give them a chance. So, what did he go and do? As it does from time to time, the dumbest argument in all of golfprobably in all of sportsflared up again last month. Terms and conditions Returns Privacy Policy, 2021 Shot Scope Technologies Ltd. All rights reserved. Wyndham Clark led the Tour in this statistical category in 2019, three-putting just 1.44% of the time. This range is ripe for amateurs to three-jack, but the pros make it look easy. Two par 3s measure over 200 yards, two par 5s over 600 yards, and five par 4s are over 475 yards! Other handicap categories are not too far behind from these distances. They only hit 6.7% of their putts in 2014 a regression of almost 50% to the mean. Here we look at the green in regulation of PGA Tour pros from each distance taken from the PGA Tour Approach The Green Stats page: 200+ yards - 40% of greens. Another interesting thing to note The correlation between three year average and 2014 performance is below. Meaning, if you need fewer putts than your fellow competitor, does that truly mean you are a better putter? 1 100% How To Watch PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Stat Leaders 2022-23 2022-23 2021-22 2020-21 2019-20 2018-19 2017-18 2016-17 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 hidden 3 Putt Percentages. These length are the longest birdie putts, often really lag putts just to get it close for par. The best correlation to success, even the fiftieth ranked guy on TOUR averages over 306 yards. The spread in performance between 2011-14 was 36% to 54%. Man, I know how its calculated; in fact, I calculate it myself for every tournament round from the raw data. (This means they three-putt 8.29 percent of the time outside of 25 feet.) PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Is two-putting from say 25+ feet a repeatable skill after backing out the short putts? Prior to joining the team at GOLF, he attended the University of Texas followed by stops with the Texas Golf Association, Team USA, the Green Bay Packers and the PGA Tour. Theres not much of a relationship (R=0.28), showing that putting performance from this range is much more affected by random chance over a full season than the shorter length putts. Avg. If the statistical data determined you will make a two-putt from your location and you hole the putt, you consequently gain one stroke towards the rest of the field. Rahm hit 86% of his fairways and 72% of his greens in regulation for the week at the Masters, the first winner to hit both of those benchmarks since Ben Crenshaw in 1995. The average first putt distance for a handicap golfer is 18.5ft. bomb, it is more statistically prudent to just lag it close, tap in your shorty In this category, Paul Casey leads the field with four out of four putts made and later finished T5. Nobody could characterize Rahm as anything less than elite when it came to his game off the tee or with his irons. PGA Tour percentage: 52.86% Context : Steven Adams was the worst free throw shooter in the NBA this season, staring down 292 tries from the line and converting 146, exactly half (50%). Lou Stagner charted out the likelihood of three-putting from every distance. that their underlying talent is constantly changing/evolving. You wont just need length off the tee to compete for the $7.7 million dollar purse and $1.386 million dollar first place check. Theres much less at stake from this range than the previous two, just because so few putts are attempted from 15-25 feet. handicaps is down to consistency of the putting stroke. But how does the average percentage of successful 10ft putts compare with lower distances? Unsurprisingly the lower the handicap the higher the make percentage, this pattern follows all the way from 0 HCP to 25 HCP. Throw in second shots on all the par 5s and long iron acumen is your second necessary skill. For every six feet farther from the hole you are, you three-putt percentage increases by between 1 and 5 percentage points, topping out at a whopping 32% when 72 feet from the hole. The top 23 guys are 100% from 3 feet and the rest of the field averages 99% . Some of the takeaways are obvious, such as the fact that the farther away from the hole you get, the more likely you are to three-putt. 1. I decided to look at 2013 (already calculated), and tried to determine what was the best thing to look at if you were trying to predict that season before it started. 15. According to the chart, this occurs at 33 feet from the hole. Tom Hoge. Perfect your impact position with this clever swing drill, This pro is chipping one-handed in competition. As I mentioned in the opening, we have reached a resort forecast. Even Jordan Speith one of the best putters in the world only Cool. Last season, players on the PGA TOUR got up-and-down from the bunker at a rate of 49.2%. The average LPGA Tour player, by contrast, hits about 75 percent of their fairways. If you putt it to 4 feet, that 4 foot putt has a 1.147 strokes-to-hole benchmark. What that means is that when predicting future putting performance (ie, saying this guy is the best putter on Tour or this player is a better putter now than a year ago) you have to put those smaller samples of putting performance in the context of what theyve done previously. So, once every four drives, a scratch golfer is hitting their drive sideways while the LPGA player's is finding the fairway. If youre going to wager this week, your player must be a great long iron player. That's a potential six-shot swing, every single round. and head to the next tee box. This is just as available as any other PGA Tour stat. At the Players Championship Bryan Harman again had the best performance with 43.48%, followed by Paul Casey with 43.14% and Cameron Smith with 42.86%. Thats no easy task, considering he wasnt doing too poorly to begin with. In other words even if making the long putt is pretty random, I wonder if good lag putts are measurable. From 25 feet or longer: 9.56%. Ask the players: they will tell you that round to round, tournament to tournament, week to week, season to season, etc. Thunshot 5 yr. ago. likely to have a more consistent putting stroke than a 20 handicapper, meaning GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Again, approach play proved to be a separating factor at the top of the leaderboard in Augusta: it marked the seventh time in the last nine years that the Masters champion ranked in the top-six that week in Strokes Gained: Approach. I feel better now. Puerta Vallarta is the host port for the Mexico Open at Vidanta. From 15 to 20 feet away, Rahm was significantly below average a season ago. No matter if you look at it from a world ranking point of view or only one tournament, the stat lacks, among other things, the information of the attempts made. Those statistics are:Strokes Gained Putting, Putting from 10-15 feet, Green in Regulation 10-15 feet, Total Putting, Putting Average, and the Birdie Conversion Rate. At this point last season, Rahm was making 70 feet, 6 inches worth of putts per round right around the TOUR average. As Shot Scope suggests, most three-jabs are cause by coming It has a nicer ring to it, right? A pure bomber off the tee, Clark is ranked third in the field for SG:APP. The amount of data the PGA Tour collects and offers to its viewers is incredible. Rory McIlroy . Rahm already has four wins this season and a green jacket. Hitting the green in regulation only to walk away with a bogey is deflating and can halt momentum in any round. Do you have specific stats of % made from every feet for the PGA Tour? Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Perhaps, though, thats what makes his approach play improvement even more impressive. optimal energy transfer into the ball; mistrikes mean less energy and less My handicap is currently a 1.3. Tony Finau. For many amateurs, an approach to 33 feet should be chalked up as a win, however at this distance its still more likely that they walk away with a bogey than a birdie. Paspalum is an unfamiliar and unpredictable grass. Max Homa (+2000) HE then stayed negative for 7 of the next 8 years, dropping as low as -.888 and -.746 in 2009-2010. PGA Tour Putting Average 3-Putt Avoidance >25: 91.71%. Or is it a good indicator to leave the ball at this distance a lot, therefore making me the best putter if I lead this statistic? However, if you look at a combination of the following statistics per tournament, you will have a good idea of who outperformed his fellow competitors on the green. CBSSports.com . I used the numbers posted by PGA Tour in case anyone was interested in replicating the research because the raw strokes gained stats arent publicly available. The stat One-Putts 10-15 feet Year-to-Date is led by Sungjae Im who holed a total of 51 Putts this season from that distance. 2021 Shot Scope Technologies Ltd. All rights reserved. Watching Jordan Spieth win again is great, but seeing two first timers contend on Sunday afternoon is even more entertaining. 3 96% Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. So really unless you knock it relatively close to the pin, your goal should get getting down in two rather than jarring your first putt. In his win at last years Mexico Open at Vidanta, Rahm had a big turnaround week on the greens, snapping a streak of four consecutive events where he lost strokes to the field putting. Based on around 225 putts attempted from 15-25 feet over a season, we should expect every regular Tour players talent in terms of putts gained or lost to fall between +0.15/round and and -0.15/round. 9 44% Strokes gained scrambling, strokes gained sand, strokes gained rough, strokes gained for specific distances/lies will eventually take over all other golf stats. Did he miss the green a lot and chipped close, or is he a superb iron player who hit the ball close every time? Performance =/= talent. Improvements through the bag have led to career-best season, Jon Rahm - Last 2 Seasons Entering Mexico Open, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Rahm is up to 54.6% in sand saves, and his overall scrambling rate is up nearly 8%. Based on an average of over 900 putts . GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. Your saying that's not enough to determine putting skill or "talent" for the year? So for a a 25 foot putt the strokes-to-hole # is 1.934. This season, hes vaulted into the top-20, picking up more than half-a-stroke per round. When looking at the Year-to-Date version, however, we encounter another problem. Namely, they are: Strokes Gained Putting, One-Putts, Three-Putts, All Putts made by Distance, Green in Regulation Putts made by Distance, Putts per Round, Putting Averages, and Average Putting Distance. The odd one out in this statistic is clearly Justin Suh, who apparently putted very well compared to the rest of the field during the seven rounds that were measured for this statistic. I'd say you are wrong. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Laser Rangefinder + GPS + Performance Tracking. He assists on all things instruction and covers amateur and womens golf. Scrolling down the page, you will quickly wonder what is the difference between One Putt 10-15 feet and All Putts Made 10-15 feet? handy chart that putting coach James Jankowski posted on Instagram. Strokes gained takes every one of those 1875 putts and compares it to the field average, taking into account the specific starting distance and finishing distance. The stats clearly show that the underlying talent of players changes over time. Unfortunately, there is no way of finding out where lasers are placed and why sometimes there are no lasers. No matter how pure you are on the greens, remember that three-putting is an inevitability. Rahm has made a quantum leap this season from a very good approach player to arguably the best in the sport. 2. Keith Stewart is the founder of Read the Line, covering the business and game of golf. Here, you will quickly run into a different problem. An 8 handicapper is The spread in expected performance derived from weighting the previous four seasons is 94.3% to 97.8%. We break it all down below, and also discussed it on the most recent episode of the Golf IQ podcast, which you can listen to and subscribe here. Over a single season Strokes Gained Putting is often an unreliable indicator of putting performance, particularly at the extremes and also for players who have putted much worse or much better than in previous seasons. There are few things in golf more demoralizing than a three-putt. It's a very bad take, as she says. A 33- year-old Indian who has one top ten finish this season at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship and is ranked number 462 in the world. If you want to do the same for world rankings, the best combination of stats to look at are Putting Average and Birdie Conversion Rate, because they are the least influenced by other factors, and despite the fact they do not factor in distance or difficulty, they hold the test of time. Finau finished second along with two others just one stroke behind. Its the basis of this dumb, dumb argument. I did this all manually, and it was a pain in the ass. Going solely by the total amount of putts, the answer to the question would be yes. NOT ON WHETHER THE SHOT WAS MADE OR missed, but by the precise distance the shot was left from the hole and the corresponding shots to hole down to a thousandth of a stroke. This eclectic bunch of stars and upstarts had a couple characteristics in common. So, the course plays even longer than what it shows on paper. The average LPGA pro gets up and down 45 percent of the time from bunkers, correlating to a proximity of around nine-ish feet. 17 19% It is used globally in 52 countries. Eight of those 10 were in the top 50 in driving distance on the PGA TOUR last season. It veered into plus territory when I was playing college golf. It may not be warm enough to win, but it will certainly get him in the top 20 with his incredible length and long iron game. He can be reached at zephyr_melton@golf.com. The longer putts show little relationship to future performance, while the shorter putts do show a more consistent relationship. Therefore, it is reasonable to suggest that part of the reason the lower handicap golfers are in their handicap category is because of their higher make percentage from this 0-6 feet distance. While a tournament in itself is highly comparable, two tournaments with different fields are not. 25 10%. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Theyre very highly correlated over the full-season of data that Im using for these studies. That's about 20 yards shorter than last year's LPGA Tour Driving Distance leader, but about seven yards longer than the LPGA Tour average, at 253 yards.